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PRISM-BN: A Controlled Corpus and Benchmark for Text-to-Parameterized Bayesian Network Extraction

Amartya Bhattacharya, Nikhil Singh, Neeti Pokhriyal, Soroush Vosoughi

Latestcs.CLcs.LGcs.AIcs.CV
arXiv ID
2609.21673 v1
Category
Submitted
2026-09-18

Abstract

Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGMs), especially Bayesian Networks (BNs), expose directed structure and probabilistic parameters, making them natural symbolic targets for neurosymbolic AI. Yet training text-to-parameterized-BN systems requires paired text-to-BN resources unavailable at scale. We introduce PRISM-BN, a controlled corpus of 5054 BN-grounded descriptions paired with discrete reference BNs containing variables, states, directed edges, root priors, and full multi-parent CPDs across five domains. The instances are derived from 50 Wikipedia-seeded backbones, and their probabilities are internally constructed benchmark targets rather than externally validated causal estimates. PRISM-BN is built with PRISM, a marginal-first pipeline that elicits marginal and local joint distributions, analytically recovers normalized CPDs, and constructs locally reparameterized subgraphs. We define a benchmark with semantic node and state alignment, conditional structural scoring, and strict full-CPD evaluation. Across six LLM extractors, Node F1 ranges from 0.56 to 0.83, conditional Edge F1 from 0.90 to 0.97, and CPD-KL from 1.11 to 3.14. Conditional state and edge recovery remain consistently strong, whereas strict full-CPD agreement remains challenging. These trends persist with independently generated GPT-5.5 references, and a human pilot corroborates structural recoverability and similar probabilistic interpretations. PRISM-BN supports separate evaluation of structural recovery and probabilistic parameter estimation.

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