Inverse Cross-spectral Neural Networks for Multivariate Time Series
Lorenzo Marinucci, Leonardo Di Nino, Gabriele D'Acunto, Paolo Di Lorenzo, Sergio Barbarossa
Abstract
CoVariance Neural Networks and their extensions have emerged as effective tools for processing multivariate data, deriving graph shift operators directly from second-order statistics. These architectures, however, are designed for independent and identically distributed observations and do not fully capture the joint structure of temporal and cross-variable dependencies in multivariate time series. In this work, we introduce Inverse Cross-Spectral Neural Networks (iCSNNs), a class of graph neural networks for stationary multivariate time series whose shift operators are the inverse cross-spectral density (iCSD) matrices. These operators encode frequency-specific conditional relationships among variables, exploiting the decomposition provided by the spectral representation theorem. Leveraging spectral smoothness, frequencies are grouped into bands sharing a single iCSD operator, yielding a compact parametrisation that retains the frequency-dependent structure of the process. We further propose a joint learning procedure to estimate both the Fourier-domain dependence structure and the iCSNN parameters, adapting the iCSD operators to the downstream task. When tested on synthetic data, iCSNN outperforms baselines from different methodological families.