PaperScope
LIVE · 2026-10-06 05:40 UTC

On prediction from expert advice with more than five experts

Jeff Calder, Nadejda Drenska

Latestcs.CLcs.LGcs.AIcs.CV
arXiv ID
2610.05186 v1
Submitted
2026-10-04

Abstract

We prove that no single rank ordered adversary strategy is globally optimal for the prediction with expert advice problem with six or more experts, in both the geometric stopping and finite time horizon settings. The proof is based on establishing a leading order correction when one expert moves far ahead of the others. This allows us to connect optimal strategies between $n$ and $j<n$ experts and utilize recent results on the exact optimality set for the five expert problem.

Comment: 42 pages. Lean formalization: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23136818

arXiv abs page · PDF · same-day batch