PEAR: Progressive Evidence-Based AutoResearch for Industrial Search Systems
Yifan Wang, Shipeng Zhu, Fei Xiong, Yuqin Yang, Yonghui Huang, Kunyao Wu, Yue Wang, Weichao Meng, Yu Gong
Abstract
AutoResearch improves systems through iterative experimentation: agents propose candidate modifications, evaluate them, and use the results to guide subsequent exploration. Applying this paradigm to industrial search presents two challenges. (1) Common AutoResearch approaches follow a keep-if-better rule, retaining the highest-scoring candidate for subsequent experiments. Under non-stationary traffic, transient gains may be mistaken for persistent improvements, impairing reliable accumulation of search knowledge. (2) Candidate modifications can be evaluated at multiple fidelity levels, from low-cost proxies to online validation, differing in cost, objective alignment, and statistical reliability. Existing methods rely on individual signals or task-specific procedures, lacking a unified basis for using evidence across levels to guide search. We introduce Progressive Evidence-Based AutoResearch (PEAR) with two complementary components. Evidence-driven AutoResearch maintains an independent, hypothesis-guided research state for each strategy task within a predefined objective and intervention scope. Each state evolves through a Plan-Execute-Evaluate-Update transition that links experimentation to context-aware evidence interpretation and hypothesis revision. Confidence-Gated Verifier Ladder organizes evaluation into four levels of increasing fidelity: Offline Replay, Shadow-Traffic Evaluation, Rapid Online Evaluation, and Decision-Grade Online Evaluation. A unified confidence-based gate promotes candidates only when evidence supports a statistically significant positive effect, enabling broad low-cost exploration while reserving costly online experiments for promoted candidates. In a real-world industrial search system, strategies optimized with PEAR significantly increased Main Order/DAU by 2.7336% and 3.2957% relative to their respective baselines in two A/B experiments.