How Much Imprecision is Enough Imprecision in my Classifier? A Practical Elicitation Procedure
Victor F. Lopes de Souza, Sébastien Destercke, Abdelhak Imoussaten
Abstract
Set-valued classifiers, whether derived from precise probabilities and an adapted cost function, from convex sets with a robust inference mechanism, or from conformal methods, are routine options to obtain more robust, trustworthy predictions. However, there is a lack of operational tools to measure how robust or imprecise a given user is ready to be when receiving predictions, that is how much precision he/she is ready to let go in exchange of more accuracy. This is why we propose, in this paper, practical and operational elicitation procedures to measure the user proneness to set-valued predictions. The effectiveness of the iterative elicitation procedure in converging to the target parameter value is demonstrated on both tabular and image datasets drawn from standard machine learning benchmarks. The results show that the procedure also presents the user with a small number of instances, highlighting the practicality of the approach for real-world applications aimed at identifying the decision maker's optimal behavior when faced with imprecision.