Reducing Catastrophic Risk from AI with Systematic Monitoring and Evaluation of Rogue AI Progression
T. Bauer, W. P. Kegelmeyer, E. Begoli, A. Sadovnik, T. Emerson, C. Corley, N. Generous, J. Moore, B. Bartoldson, R. Goldhan, M. Goldman, M. Greaves, M. J. D. Vermeer, B. MacLennan, D. Schulker, N. VanHoudnos, J. Bansemer, Y. Bengio
Abstract
This article presents a structured framework of behavioral indicators that may signal progression toward potentially catastrophic threats from artificial intelligence systems. We adopt a pragmatic approach, inspired by established methodologies in cybersecurity and national security. By establishing clear metrics, indicators, and thresholds across multiple dimensions of AI capability and behavior, this framework enables researchers and policymakers to implement evidence-based monitoring protocols.